Análisis Uruguay vs Chile
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
78.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.85
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
13.3%
Empate
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
8.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.86
Goles esperados
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 nov. 1923 |
URU
2 - 1
BRA
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 nov. 1923 |
URU
2 - 0
PAR
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 1923 |
URU
0 - 2
ARG
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 ago. 1923 |
URU
1 - 1
ARG
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 jul. 1923 |
URU
2 - 2
ARG
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 oct. 1922 |
ARG
1 - 0
CHI
73%
16%
11%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 1922 |
PAR
3 - 0
CHI
69%
17%
14%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 sep. 1922 |
ARG
4 - 0
CHI
71%
17%
12%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 1922 |
CHI
0 - 2
URU
29%
23%
48%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 sep. 1922 |
BRA
1 - 1
CHI
72%
16%
12%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |