Análisis Uruguay vs Chile
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
73.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.71
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
15.1%
Empate
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
11%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 ene. 1937 |
URU
4 - 2
PER
68%
17%
15%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 ene. 1937 |
PAR
4 - 2
URU
38%
23%
40%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 sep. 1936 |
URU
2 - 1
ARG
50%
23%
27%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 ago. 1936 |
ARG
1 - 0
URU
54%
22%
24%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 ago. 1935 |
ARG
3 - 0
URU
53%
22%
25%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 ene. 1937 |
BRA
6 - 4
CHI
71%
16%
13%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 dic. 1936 |
ARG
2 - 1
CHI
70%
17%
13%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 1935 |
PER
1 - 0
CHI
59%
20%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 1935 |
URU
2 - 1
CHI
72%
16%
12%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 ene. 1935 |
ARG
4 - 1
CHI
68%
18%
14%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |