Análisis Uruguay vs Ecuador
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
82.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.15
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
11.1%
Empate
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.1%
6.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 abr. 1948 |
URU
4 - 2
BRA
47%
22%
32%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 1948 |
URU
1 - 1
BRA
47%
21%
32%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 dic. 1947 |
ARG
3 - 1
URU
70%
16%
14%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 dic. 1947 |
URU
1 - 0
PER
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 dic. 1947 |
URU
6 - 1
ECU
81%
12%
7%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
Partidos
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 abr. 1949 |
PAR
1 - 0
ECU
82%
11%
7%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 1949 |
BRA
9 - 1
ECU
87%
8%
5%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | -1 |
| 29 dic. 1947 |
PAR
4 - 0
ECU
79%
12%
9%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 dic. 1947 |
ARG
2 - 0
ECU
84%
11%
6%
|
55 | 89 | 34 | 0 |
| 20 dic. 1947 |
PER
0 - 0
ECU
79%
12%
8%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | +1 |