Análisis Uruguay vs Paraguay
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
71.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.54
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.4%
Empate
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 ene. 1925 |
ARG
1 - 0
URU
43%
24%
34%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 nov. 1924 |
URU
1 - 0
ARG
59%
20%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 nov. 1924 |
URU
0 - 0
ARG
59%
21%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 1924 |
URU
3 - 1
PAR
71%
17%
13%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 1924 |
URU
5 - 0
CHI
79%
13%
8%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
Partidos
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 jul. 1925 |
ARG
1 - 1
PAR
63%
20%
17%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 jul. 1925 |
ARG
1 - 1
PAR
63%
20%
17%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 nov. 1924 |
PAR
3 - 1
CHI
72%
16%
12%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 1924 |
URU
3 - 1
PAR
71%
17%
13%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 oct. 1924 |
ARG
0 - 0
PAR
63%
20%
18%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |