Análisis Uruguay vs Paraguay
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
72%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.54
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.2%
Empate
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.94
Goles esperados
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 sep. 1929 |
ARG
0 - 0
URU
49%
23%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 1929 |
URU
2 - 1
ARG
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 jun. 1929 |
URU
1 - 1
ARG
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 sep. 1928 |
URU
2 - 2
ARG
55%
22%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 ago. 1928 |
ARG
1 - 0
URU
48%
23%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 ago. 1928 |
PAR
1 - 1
URU
32%
24%
45%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 ago. 1928 |
PAR
3 - 1
URU
30%
24%
46%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | +2 |
| 03 nov. 1926 |
CHI
5 - 1
PAR
41%
24%
34%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -2 |
| 01 nov. 1926 |
URU
6 - 1
PAR
71%
17%
13%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 oct. 1926 |
BOL
1 - 6
PAR
56%
21%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +2 |