Análisis Uruguay vs Paraguay
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
66.8%
Probabilidad gana
2.47
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.6%
Empate
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
15.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.12
Goles esperados
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 ene. 1942 |
URU
1 - 0
BRA
53%
20%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 1942 |
URU
7 - 0
ECU
74%
15%
11%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | +1 |
| 10 ene. 1942 |
URU
6 - 1
CHI
69%
17%
14%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 may. 1941 |
PAN
5 - 2
URU
34%
22%
44%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 may. 1941 |
CUW
9 - 1
URU
21%
20%
59%
|
80 | 42 | 38 | 0 |
Partidos
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 ene. 1942 |
PAR
3 - 1
ECU
70%
16%
14%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 1942 |
PAR
2 - 0
CHI
63%
19%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 ene. 1942 |
PAR
1 - 1
PER
47%
22%
32%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 1942 |
ARG
4 - 3
PAR
73%
16%
11%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 feb. 1939 |
PAR
3 - 1
ECU
60%
19%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |