Análisis Venezuela vs Guinea
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
69.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.16
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.7%
Empate
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 sep. 2011 |
VEN
2 - 1
GUI
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 sep. 2011 |
VEN
0 - 1
ARG
19%
24%
56%
|
86 | 96 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 ago. 2011 |
HND
2 - 0
VEN
50%
25%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 ago. 2011 |
SLV
2 - 1
VEN
29%
27%
44%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 jul. 2011 |
PER
4 - 1
VEN
41%
25%
34%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 sep. 2011 |
VEN
2 - 1
GUI
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 2011 |
GUI
1 - 0
ETH
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 ago. 2011 |
GAB
1 - 1
GUI
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 jun. 2011 |
GUI
4 - 1
MAD
81%
14%
5%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 mar. 2011 |
MAD
1 - 1
GUI
11%
19%
69%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | -1 |