Análisis Yugoslavia vs Inglaterra
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
29.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.75
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.9%
19.9%
Empate
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
7%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.8%
50.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.31
Goles esperados
0-1
4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
5.4%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
15%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 may. 1939 |
ROU
1 - 0
YUG
68%
16%
16%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 feb. 1939 |
GER
3 - 2
YUG
80%
12%
8%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 1938 |
POL
4 - 4
YUG
70%
16%
15%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 1938 |
YUG
1 - 1
ROU
52%
20%
28%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 ago. 1938 |
YUG
1 - 3
CSK
42%
22%
36%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
Partidos
Inglaterra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 may. 1939 |
ITA
2 - 2
ENG
60%
18%
22%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 1939 |
SCO
1 - 2
ENG
44%
21%
35%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 nov. 1938 |
ENG
7 - 0
NIR
82%
11%
7%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 nov. 1938 |
ENG
4 - 0
NOR
70%
16%
14%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 1938 |
WAL
4 - 2
ENG
31%
21%
49%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |