Análisis Zambia vs Botsuana
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.03
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.8%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
12.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.72
Goles esperados
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 jul. 2006 |
ZAM
2 - 0
SYC
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 jul. 2006 |
MWI
1 - 3
ZAM
31%
25%
44%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 jul. 2006 |
ZAM
0 - 0
ZIM
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 may. 2006 |
BOT
5 - 4
ZAM
21%
25%
54%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 ene. 2006 |
ZAM
1 - 0
RSA
30%
24%
45%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Botsuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 ago. 2006 |
UGA
3 - 1
BOT
57%
22%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 jul. 2006 |
MWI
2 - 3
BOT
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 jul. 2006 |
MWI
2 - 1
BOT
53%
24%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 may. 2006 |
BOT
6 - 5
RSA
20%
24%
56%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 may. 2006 |
BOT
2 - 0
MAD
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |