Clasificación Mundial África Grupo E Jor. 5

Análisis Zambia vs Eritrea

Zambia Eritrea
73 ELO 9
2.5% Tilt -8.9%
1373º Ranking ELO general 16052º
Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
83.4%
Zambia
11.7%
Empate
4.9%
Eritrea

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
83.4%
Win probability
Zambia
2.74
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
11.7%
Empate
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
4.9%
Win probability
Eritrea
0.53
Goles esperados
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

ELO8.513.919.324.730.135.540.946.351.757.162.567.973.378.784.189.5-11.6%-9.1%-6.6%-4.1%-1.7%0.8%3.3%5.8%8.3%10.8%13.2%15.7%18.2%20.7%23.2%25.7%28.1%30.6%33.1%35.6%
← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Zambia
-11%
+35%
Eritrea

Progresión del ELO

15º24º33º42º51º60º69ºApr .24Jul .24Nov .24Feb .25
Zambia
Eritrea
Níger
Tanzania
Marruecos
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Zambia
Zambia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 dic. 2024
ZAM
Zambia
3 - 0
Mozambique
MOZ
62%
21%
17%
72 63 9 0
21 dic. 2024
MOZ
Mozambique
0 - 3
Zambia
ZAM
26%
26%
48%
71 65 6 +1
19 nov. 2024
SLE
Sierra Leona
0 - 2
Zambia
ZAM
17%
22%
61%
71 57 14 0
15 nov. 2024
ZAM
Zambia
1 - 0
Costa de Marfil
CIV
23%
26%
51%
70 85 15 +1
15 oct. 2024
CHA
Chad
0 - 1
Zambia
ZAM
11%
18%
72%
70 48 22 0

Partidos

Eritrea
Eritrea
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 sep. 2019
NAM
Namibia
2 - 0
Eritrea
ERI
73%
18%
9%
33 66 33 0
04 sep. 2019
ERI
Eritrea
1 - 2
Namibia
NAM
7%
14%
79%
33 66 33 0
13 oct. 2015
BOT
Botsuana
3 - 1
Eritrea
ERI
76%
17%
7%
34 63 29 -1
10 oct. 2015
ERI
Eritrea
0 - 2
Botsuana
BOT
11%
21%
68%
34 63 29 0
29 nov. 2013
SDN
Sudán del Sur
3 - 0
Eritrea
ERI
84%
12%
5%
35 63 28 -1