Análisis Zambia vs Argelia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
48.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.96
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.9%
Empate
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
29.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.5
Goles esperados
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 jun. 1978 |
ZAM
0 - 0
MWI
69%
16%
15%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 jun. 1978 |
MWI
1 - 2
ZAM
49%
22%
29%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 mar. 1978 |
ZAM
0 - 0
NGA
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 mar. 1978 |
ZAM
2 - 0
BFA
73%
15%
12%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 mar. 1978 |
GHA
2 - 1
ZAM
76%
14%
10%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | -1 |
Partidos
Argelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 oct. 1978 |
MWI
2 - 1
ALG
36%
23%
41%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 1978 |
ALG
1 - 1
MWI
73%
16%
11%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 jul. 1978 |
ALG
1 - 0
NGA
46%
24%
30%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 jul. 1978 |
ALG
2 - 0
GHA
37%
24%
39%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 jul. 1978 |
ALG
3 - 0
MWI
72%
16%
12%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | +1 |