Análisis Zambia vs Mozambique
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
83.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.55
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.2%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.4%
12.2%
Empate
0-0
5.1%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
4.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.42
Goles esperados
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 jun. 1999 |
UGA
0 - 1
ZAM
39%
25%
36%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 may. 1999 |
UGA
0 - 1
ZAM
39%
25%
36%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 feb. 1999 |
ZIM
1 - 1
ZAM
32%
26%
42%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 1998 |
ZIM
0 - 1
ZAM
28%
25%
47%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 sep. 1998 |
OMA
1 - 1
ZAM
14%
23%
63%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | -1 |
Partidos
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 may. 1999 |
BOT
0 - 2
MOZ
38%
24%
39%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 may. 1999 |
SWZ
3 - 1
MOZ
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 oct. 1998 |
MOZ
3 - 1
ERI
82%
12%
6%
|
58 | 9 | 49 | +1 |
| 12 sep. 1998 |
NAM
2 - 1
MOZ
49%
22%
29%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 ago. 1998 |
POR
2 - 1
MOZ
90%
8%
2%
|
59 | 91 | 32 | 0 |