Análisis Zambia vs Mozambique
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
75%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.38
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16%
Empate
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.69
Goles esperados
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 ene. 2002 |
EGY
2 - 1
ZAM
70%
17%
13%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2002 |
SEN
1 - 0
ZAM
41%
25%
33%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 ene. 2002 |
ZAM
0 - 0
TUN
31%
28%
41%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 ene. 2002 |
BFA
2 - 1
ZAM
25%
25%
51%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 ene. 2002 |
MLI
1 - 1
ZAM
34%
28%
38%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 jun. 2002 |
MOZ
1 - 1
ANG
22%
25%
53%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 2002 |
LSO
0 - 2
MOZ
36%
24%
40%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 2002 |
SWZ
1 - 1
MOZ
32%
25%
43%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 mar. 2002 |
SWZ
1 - 2
MOZ
35%
25%
40%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 abr. 2001 |
MOZ
0 - 3
RSA
11%
22%
68%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |