Clasificación Campeonato Africano de Naciones Primera Ronda. Final

Global 0-1

Análisis Zambia vs Mozambique

Zambia Mozambique
71 ELO 58
-0.3% Tilt -8%
879º Ranking ELO general 2335º
Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
71%
Zambia
17.8%
Empate
11.1%
Mozambique

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
71%
Probabilidad gana
Zambia
2.24
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.8%
Empate
0-0
5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.1%
Probabilidad gana
Mozambique
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Zambia
+1%
+10%
Mozambique

Progresión del ELO

Zambia
Mozambique
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Zambia
Zambia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 jul. 2022
MOZ
Mozambique
0 - 0
Zambia
ZMB
16%
23%
62%
72 57 15 0
17 jul. 2022
NAM
Namibia
0 - 1
Zambia
ZMB
29%
26%
45%
71 65 6 +1
15 jul. 2022
ZMB
Zambia
4 - 3
Senegal
SEN
23%
25%
53%
70 84 14 +1
12 jul. 2022
ZMB
Zambia
1 - 1
Botsuana
BWA
70%
19%
11%
71 60 11 -1
07 jun. 2022
ZMB
Zambia
2 - 1
Comoras
COM
77%
15%
8%
70 49 21 +1

Partidos

Mozambique
Mozambique
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 jul. 2022
MOZ
Mozambique
0 - 0
Zambia
ZMB
16%
23%
62%
57 72 15 0
17 jul. 2022
MOZ
Mozambique
1 - 1
Senegal
SEN
9%
20%
72%
56 84 28 +1
15 jul. 2022
NAM
Namibia
1 - 0
Mozambique
MOZ
55%
25%
21%
57 65 8 -1
13 jul. 2022
ZAF
Sudáfrica
0 - 0
Mozambique
MOZ
72%
19%
9%
56 79 23 +1
08 jun. 2022
BEN
Benín
0 - 1
Mozambique
MOZ
63%
21%
16%
55 67 12 +1
X