Análisis Zambia vs Sudáfrica
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
30.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.29
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.3%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
45.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.62
Goles esperados
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-17%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 ene. 2006 |
ZAM
1 - 2
GUI
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 2006 |
TUN
4 - 1
ZAM
69%
19%
13%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 dic. 2005 |
ZIM
1 - 1
ZAM
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 2005 |
ZAM
4 - 1
COD
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 dic. 2005 |
COD
1 - 1
ZAM
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Sudáfrica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 ene. 2006 |
TUN
2 - 0
RSA
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 2006 |
RSA
0 - 2
GUI
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 ene. 2006 |
EGY
1 - 2
RSA
73%
17%
10%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 nov. 2005 |
RSA
2 - 3
SEN
42%
29%
29%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 2005 |
RSA
2 - 2
COD
57%
25%
19%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |