Análisis Zambia vs Sudán
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
70.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.77
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
15.7%
Empate
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.7%
13.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.19
Goles esperados
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 nov. 1981 |
ZAM
1 - 1
ZIM
64%
18%
18%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 nov. 1981 |
UGA
3 - 1
ZAM
47%
22%
31%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 jul. 1981 |
ZAM
3 - 0
NGA
40%
24%
36%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 jun. 1981 |
ZAM
2 - 2
COD
56%
20%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 jun. 1981 |
ZAM
3 - 1
COD
53%
20%
27%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +2 |
Partidos
Sudán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 nov. 1981 |
ZIM
0 - 0
SDN
68%
17%
16%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 nov. 1981 |
UGA
2 - 2
SDN
57%
20%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 1981 |
ETH
2 - 0
SDN
50%
22%
28%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 abr. 1981 |
ETH
1 - 1
SDN
50%
21%
28%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 dic. 1980 |
SDN
1 - 1
ALG
33%
24%
43%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |