Análisis Zambia vs Sudán
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
60.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.76
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.1%
Empate
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
16.8%
Probabilidad gana
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 ene. 2012 |
GNQ
0 - 1
ZMB
14%
21%
65%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 2012 |
LBY
2 - 2
ZMB
36%
25%
39%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 2012 |
SEN
1 - 2
ZMB
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 ene. 2012 |
ZMB
0 - 0
NAM
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 dic. 2011 |
AGO
1 - 0
ZMB
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Sudán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 ene. 2012 |
SDN
2 - 1
BFA
42%
24%
33%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2012 |
SDN
2 - 2
AGO
32%
26%
42%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 2012 |
CIV
1 - 0
SDN
83%
12%
4%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 ene. 2012 |
SEN
1 - 0
SDN
73%
19%
9%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 2012 |
TUN
3 - 0
SDN
73%
19%
8%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | -1 |