Análisis Sergipe vs Guarany SE
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
83.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.75
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
11.7%
Empate
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
4.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.54
Goles esperados
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-42%
+65%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 mar. 2006 |
BOC
0 - 0
SER
10%
16%
74%
|
55 | 22 | 33 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 2006 |
SER
3 - 2
ITA
65%
20%
15%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 2006 |
PIR
3 - 1
SER
31%
23%
46%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 mar. 2006 |
SER
1 - 0
AMA
83%
12%
5%
|
56 | 28 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 mar. 2006 |
LAG
0 - 0
SER
17%
19%
64%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
Partidos
Guarany SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 mar. 2006 |
GUA
1 - 1
AMA
45%
24%
31%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 2006 |
GUA
2 - 2
BOC
61%
20%
19%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 2006 |
CON
3 - 1
GUA
80%
14%
6%
|
28 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 2006 |
GUA
1 - 2
OSE
44%
24%
33%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 mar. 2006 |
PIR
2 - 1
GUA
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -1 |