Análisis Sergipe vs Guarany SE
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
82.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.74
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.2%
Empate
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
5.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.59
Goles esperados
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-42%
+65%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 feb. 2007 |
AME
2 - 1
SER
16%
21%
63%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2007 |
SER
1 - 1
SAO
82%
12%
6%
|
55 | 28 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 feb. 2007 |
PIR
0 - 2
SER
28%
23%
49%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 2007 |
SER
3 - 3
OSE
79%
14%
7%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 2007 |
LAG
1 - 1
SER
18%
21%
61%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
Partidos
Guarany SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 feb. 2007 |
SAO
2 - 0
GUA
54%
22%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2007 |
GUA
1 - 2
CON
18%
22%
59%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 feb. 2007 |
GUA
3 - 0
AME
44%
23%
33%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 ene. 2007 |
PIR
4 - 1
GUA
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 ene. 2007 |
OSE
2 - 1
GUA
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |