Análisis Sergipe vs Amadense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
80.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.68
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12.9%
Empate
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
6.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.62
Goles esperados
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-42%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 mar. 2007 |
CON
0 - 0
SER
43%
26%
32%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 feb. 2007 |
SER
1 - 0
GUA
82%
12%
6%
|
55 | 28 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 feb. 2007 |
AME
2 - 1
SER
16%
21%
63%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2007 |
SER
1 - 1
SAO
82%
12%
6%
|
55 | 28 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 feb. 2007 |
PIR
0 - 2
SER
28%
23%
49%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 mar. 2007 |
GUA
0 - 0
AMA
47%
23%
29%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 feb. 2007 |
AMA
0 - 1
PIR
25%
24%
52%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 feb. 2007 |
LAG
1 - 2
AMA
61%
20%
19%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 feb. 2007 |
AMA
1 - 1
OSE
38%
24%
38%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 feb. 2007 |
ITA
2 - 1
AMA
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |