Análisis Sergipe vs Confiança
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.06
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.5%
Empate
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
16.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
+29%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 abr. 2007 |
AME
2 - 1
SER
27%
24%
49%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2007 |
ITA
1 - 0
SER
34%
28%
38%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2007 |
SER
3 - 2
ITA
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 2007 |
SER
1 - 3
AME
73%
17%
10%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 abr. 2007 |
CON
0 - 3
SER
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 abr. 2007 |
CON
2 - 1
ITA
62%
22%
15%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2007 |
AME
2 - 3
CON
37%
26%
38%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 2007 |
CON
1 - 2
AME
59%
22%
18%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 2007 |
ITA
0 - 1
CON
47%
27%
27%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2007 |
CON
0 - 3
SER
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |