Análisis Sergipe vs CSA
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.08
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.3%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.75
Goles esperados
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 jul. 2009 |
CEN
1 - 0
SER
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 may. 2009 |
CON
2 - 0
SER
51%
24%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 may. 2009 |
SER
2 - 1
CON
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 abr. 2009 |
SER
4 - 1
SDJ
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 abr. 2009 |
CON
1 - 3
SER
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 jul. 2009 |
CSA
0 - 3
SAN
31%
26%
44%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 may. 2009 |
COT
3 - 0
CSA
75%
18%
7%
|
42 | 78 | 36 | -1 |
| 03 may. 2009 |
CRB
2 - 1
CSA
75%
16%
9%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 abr. 2009 |
CSA
0 - 4
COT
13%
21%
66%
|
44 | 78 | 34 | -1 |
| 26 abr. 2009 |
CSA
3 - 2
MUR
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |