Análisis Sergipe vs Flamengo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
10.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.59
Goles esperados
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.9%
19.9%
Empate
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
69.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.95
Goles esperados
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.1%
0-2
15%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+16%
+30%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 oct. 1977 |
FLU
2 - 1
SER
89%
8%
3%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 1977 |
VIT
3 - 1
SER
55%
22%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 oct. 1977 |
FLU
0 - 1
SER
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 nov. 1975 |
POR
4 - 0
SER
75%
17%
8%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | +1 |
| 29 oct. 1975 |
GOI
1 - 0
SER
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 oct. 1977 |
FLU
0 - 6
FLA
12%
21%
67%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 oct. 1977 |
BAH
0 - 0
FLA
35%
30%
35%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 1977 |
DES
0 - 2
FLA
23%
26%
51%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 1977 |
FLA
5 - 0
VIT
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 nov. 1976 |
FLA
2 - 0
NAU
71%
18%
11%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | +1 |