Análisis Sergipe vs Itabaiana
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.02
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.6%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 ago. 2005 |
SER
4 - 0
JUA
70%
18%
11%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 ago. 2005 |
JUA
1 - 2
SER
27%
25%
48%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 ago. 2005 |
ITA
0 - 2
SER
34%
25%
41%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 jul. 2005 |
SER
1 - 1
IPI
64%
21%
16%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -2 |
| 29 may. 2005 |
SER
1 - 0
GUA
82%
12%
6%
|
61 | 31 | 30 | 0 |
Partidos
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 ago. 2005 |
IPI
1 - 2
ITA
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 ago. 2005 |
ITA
1 - 1
IPI
47%
25%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 ago. 2005 |
ITA
0 - 2
SER
34%
25%
41%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 jul. 2005 |
JUA
1 - 3
ITA
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 may. 2005 |
ITA
3 - 0
LAG
76%
15%
10%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | -1 |