Sergipano Semifinal
Global 3-3
Análisis Sergipe vs Itabaiana
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
56.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.75
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.5%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.7%
Probabilidad gana
0.92
Goles esperados
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-31%
+32%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 abr. 2023 |
ITA
2 - 1
SER
29%
28%
43%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 mar. 2023 |
CEA
3 - 1
SER
80%
14%
5%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 2023 |
SER
2 - 2
SAM
19%
24%
57%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 2023 |
LAG
2 - 2
SER
35%
28%
37%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 2023 |
SER
4 - 1
FFC
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
Partidos
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 abr. 2023 |
ITA
2 - 1
SER
29%
28%
43%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 mar. 2023 |
ITA
2 - 1
FFC
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2023 |
FFC
1 - 1
ITA
25%
24%
51%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 2023 |
ATG
1 - 0
ITA
15%
21%
64%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 mar. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 2
AFP
73%
18%
9%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | -1 |