Análisis Sergipe vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
44.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.53
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.2%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
30.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.21
Goles esperados
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+19%
+22%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 jun. 1990 |
SER
1 - 1
BAH
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 jun. 1990 |
BAH
0 - 0
SER
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 oct. 1986 |
GOI
2 - 0
SER
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 oct. 1986 |
SER
2 - 1
PAY
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 sep. 1986 |
JEC
1 - 1
SER
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 may. 1992 |
SAO
2 - 0
NAU
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 may. 1992 |
NAU
1 - 1
VAS
36%
30%
34%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 may. 1992 |
NAU
1 - 0
PAL
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 may. 1992 |
POR
3 - 1
NAU
54%
26%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 abr. 1992 |
NAU
1 - 1
FLU
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |