Análisis Sergipe vs Vila Nova
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
53.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.82
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.9%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.13
Goles esperados
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 feb. 1999 |
PPE
5 - 2
SER
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 feb. 1999 |
SER
2 - 0
PPE
22%
26%
52%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 feb. 1997 |
SER
3 - 5
VAS
24%
24%
52%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 1996 |
SER
0 - 8
PAL
18%
24%
58%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | -1 |
| 10 mar. 1995 |
SAO
3 - 0
SER
82%
12%
6%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | -1 |
Partidos
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 mar. 1998 |
VIL
0 - 0
VAS
13%
18%
69%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 1998 |
VAS
2 - 0
VIL
93%
5%
2%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | -1 |
| 18 feb. 1998 |
RIO
0 - 2
VIL
59%
22%
18%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 feb. 1998 |
COT
0 - 0
VIL
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 1998 |
VIL
2 - 1
COT
20%
27%
53%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | +1 |