Análisis Serpa vs Moura
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
77.8%
Probabilidad gana
2.4
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15%
Empate
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.2%
Probabilidad gana
0.58
Goles esperados
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-13%
+71%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Serpa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 ene. 2025 |
AMO
2 - 1
SER
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 ene. 2025 |
LAG
0 - 0
SER
25%
25%
50%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 dic. 2024 |
SER
3 - 2
EST
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 20 | 27 | +1 |
| 08 dic. 2024 |
SIN
1 - 0
SER
44%
25%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 nov. 2024 |
SER
1 - 3
LOU
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
Partidos
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 ene. 2025 |
MOU
1 - 1
FCB
29%
24%
47%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 dic. 2024 |
AMO
1 - 1
MOU
82%
13%
5%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 dic. 2024 |
MOU
2 - 1
LAG
32%
22%
47%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 dic. 2024 |
EST
2 - 2
MOU
38%
23%
40%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 2024 |
SIN
2 - 3
MOU
83%
13%
4%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | +1 |