Análisis Serra FC vs Cachoeiro
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
85.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
3
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
10.2%
Empate
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
4.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.58
Goles esperados
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Serra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 feb. 2006 |
VIT
2 - 1
SER
51%
22%
27%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 2006 |
SER
1 - 3
55%
22%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 feb. 2006 |
SER
0 - 3
EST
60%
20%
20%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 feb. 2006 |
COL
2 - 1
SER
54%
22%
25%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 ene. 2006 |
SER
1 - 0
LIN
51%
22%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Cachoeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 feb. 2006 |
CFC
3 - 2
SAO
28%
23%
48%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 feb. 2006 |
COL
0 - 3
CFC
87%
10%
4%
|
21 | 59 | 38 | +1 |
| 04 feb. 2006 |
CFC
2 - 3
VFC
30%
24%
47%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 ene. 2006 |
VIT
1 - 0
CFC
86%
10%
4%
|
22 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 2006 |
EST
1 - 0
CFC
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |