Análisis Serra Macaense vs Barra Mansa
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
41.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.64
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.7%
Empate
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
34.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.47
Goles esperados
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-24%
-21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 jul. 2011 |
QUI
0 - 0
SER
72%
17%
10%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 jul. 2011 |
SER
4 - 4
IFC
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 jul. 2011 |
TIG
2 - 0
SER
57%
22%
22%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 jul. 2011 |
SER
0 - 1
BON
26%
24%
51%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 jul. 2011 |
TFC
1 - 1
SER
35%
25%
40%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Barra Mansa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 jul. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 2
POR
49%
24%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 jul. 2011 |
SEC
1 - 1
BAR
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 jul. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 2
CER
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 jul. 2011 |
FRI
4 - 1
BAR
66%
19%
14%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 jul. 2011 |
BAR
3 - 0
ANG
61%
21%
19%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |