Análisis Serrano PE vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
16.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
20.6%
Empate
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
62.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.05
Goles esperados
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Serrano PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 ene. 2006 |
SPO
3 - 0
SER
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 ene. 2006 |
ACA
1 - 3
SER
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 sep. 2005 |
SER
3 - 4
FER
25%
25%
50%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 ago. 2005 |
PIA
0 - 0
SER
60%
22%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 ago. 2005 |
SER
2 - 1
ICA
23%
24%
53%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 ene. 2006 |
SAL
3 - 0
NAU
22%
22%
57%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 ene. 2006 |
NAU
2 - 1
CEN
62%
20%
19%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 nov. 2005 |
NAU
0 - 1
GRE
45%
25%
29%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 nov. 2005 |
POR
0 - 2
NAU
52%
24%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 nov. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 0
NAU
53%
24%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |