Análisis Sertanense vs Naval 1º de Maio
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
78.7%
Probabilidad gana
2.36
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
14.9%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6.4%
Probabilidad gana
0.52
Goles esperados
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 sep. 2016 |
SER
1 - 0
MAR
75%
17%
8%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 ago. 2016 |
SER
5 - 1
IDE
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 ago. 2016 |
OLE
0 - 1
SER
12%
17%
72%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 may. 2016 |
SER
1 - 0
ALC
33%
27%
40%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 may. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 0
SER
14%
23%
62%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | -1 |
Partidos
Naval 1º de Maio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 ago. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 0
ANM
63%
20%
17%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 ago. 2016 |
BEN
5 - 0
ANM
84%
12%
4%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | 0 |