Análisis Servette vs Aarau
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.02
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.6%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-12%
+12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 oct. 1986 |
LAC
0 - 4
SER
24%
26%
50%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 1986 |
SER
2 - 0
YOB
57%
23%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 oct. 1986 |
LAU
3 - 2
SER
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 1986 |
NEX
1 - 1
SER
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 1986 |
SER
5 - 2
LOC
80%
14%
7%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 oct. 1986 |
FCA
2 - 0
LAU
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 1986 |
GCZ
2 - 0
FCA
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 1986 |
FCA
4 - 4
LAC
73%
18%
10%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 1986 |
VEV
0 - 2
FCA
41%
26%
32%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 1986 |
FCA
1 - 1
ZUR
47%
23%
30%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |