Análisis Sevilla vs Hércules
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.68
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.1%
Empate
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-7%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 nov. 1981 |
VAD
2 - 1
SEV
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 nov. 1981 |
ATM
1 - 2
SEV
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 nov. 1981 |
SEV
2 - 2
RSO
35%
30%
36%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 nov. 1981 |
RAC
3 - 0
SEV
36%
28%
36%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 nov. 1981 |
SEV
2 - 1
FCB
28%
27%
45%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 nov. 1981 |
HER
0 - 1
ATM
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 nov. 1981 |
SEV
0 - 2
HER
28%
28%
44%
|
78 | 44 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 nov. 1981 |
RSO
2 - 1
HER
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 nov. 1981 |
HER
3 - 4
RAC
69%
20%
11%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 nov. 1981 |
FCB
5 - 0
HER
81%
13%
6%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |