Análisis Sevilla vs Real Jaén
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
83.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.35
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
10.2%
Empate
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.2%
6.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 abr. 1963 |
SEV
3 - 1
VCF
49%
24%
28%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 1963 |
OVI
5 - 1
SEV
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 1963 |
SEV
3 - 2
VAD
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 1963 |
ELC
8 - 1
SEV
57%
21%
23%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 mar. 1963 |
SEV
2 - 1
MAL
79%
13%
7%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 abr. 1963 |
CAD
2 - 1
RJA
69%
19%
13%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 1963 |
RJA
3 - 0
PUL
70%
17%
13%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 abr. 1963 |
CFC
3 - 1
RJA
63%
19%
18%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -2 |
| 31 mar. 1963 |
RJA
3 - 0
GRA
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +2 |
| 24 mar. 1963 |
CDT
1 - 0
RJA
72%
18%
11%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |