Análisis Siena vs Modena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
42.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.25
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.7%
28.7%
Empate
0-0
11%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
28.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-10%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 ene. 2004 |
BRE
4 - 2
SIE
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 2003 |
SIE
0 - 0
BOL
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 dic. 2003 |
JUV
2 - 1
SIE
83%
12%
5%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 dic. 2003 |
SAM
2 - 1
SIE
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 nov. 2003 |
SIE
3 - 0
LAZ
19%
27%
55%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | +1 |
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 ene. 2004 |
MOD
0 - 3
CHI
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 2003 |
SAM
1 - 1
MOD
55%
25%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 dic. 2003 |
LAZ
1 - 0
MOD
78%
15%
7%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 dic. 2003 |
ROM
1 - 0
MOD
79%
15%
7%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 dic. 2003 |
MOD
1 - 1
BRE
37%
28%
35%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |