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Brasiliense. Etapas Finales, Semifinal

Global 3-1. Vuelta 0-0
Sobradinho Ceilândia
30 ELO 28
-5% Tilt 33%
4965º Ranking ELO general 5098º
272º Ranking ELO país 274º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
37.7%
Sobradinho
25.9%
Empate
36.4%
Ceilândia

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
37.7%
Probabilidad gana
Sobradinho
1.35
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.9%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
36.4%
Probabilidad gana
Ceilândia
1.32
Goles esperados
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%