Análisis Somozas vs Choco
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.86
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.4%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+9%
-27%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 ene. 2014 |
CDD
0 - 2
SOM
23%
24%
53%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 2014 |
SOM
1 - 0
CER
45%
26%
30%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 ene. 2014 |
SOM
2 - 3
BOI
46%
25%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 05 ene. 2014 |
ORD
0 - 1
SOM
32%
27%
42%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 dic. 2013 |
NEG
0 - 2
SOM
35%
25%
40%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
Partidos
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 ene. 2014 |
CHO
3 - 3
BOI
34%
26%
40%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 2014 |
ORD
3 - 1
CHO
39%
27%
34%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 ene. 2014 |
CHO
1 - 1
NEG
61%
23%
16%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 ene. 2014 |
PON
2 - 0
CHO
62%
21%
17%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 dic. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 1
CHO
40%
26%
35%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |