Análisis Somozas vs Deportivo Fabril
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
15.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.9%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
63.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.97
Goles esperados
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-15%
+18%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 feb. 2010 |
NEG
1 - 0
SOM
50%
24%
26%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 2010 |
ALO
2 - 0
SOM
58%
22%
20%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 2010 |
SOM
1 - 1
BOU
41%
26%
34%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 ene. 2010 |
COX
3 - 0
SOM
68%
19%
13%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 ene. 2010 |
SOM
1 - 3
NAR
26%
24%
51%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
Partidos
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 feb. 2010 |
DEP
0 - 0
RVI
75%
17%
8%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 2010 |
CDO
2 - 0
DEP
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -2 |
| 06 feb. 2010 |
DEP
2 - 0
VER
84%
12%
4%
|
48 | 19 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 2010 |
CUL
1 - 3
DEP
17%
23%
61%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 2010 |
DEP
1 - 0
VIL
74%
17%
9%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |