Análisis Somozas vs Negreira
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
78.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.31
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
15.1%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
6.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.48
Goles esperados
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 may. 2014 |
PON
2 - 0
SOM
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 2014 |
SOM
0 - 0
BAR
65%
21%
15%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 abr. 2014 |
DEP
0 - 2
SOM
40%
25%
36%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 abr. 2014 |
SOM
4 - 0
BOU
62%
22%
16%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 abr. 2014 |
ALO
0 - 0
SOM
21%
24%
55%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Negreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 may. 2014 |
NEG
1 - 2
BOI
20%
24%
56%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 2014 |
ORD
3 - 0
NEG
63%
23%
14%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 abr. 2014 |
CER
2 - 1
NEG
69%
21%
10%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2014 |
NEG
0 - 1
PON
23%
25%
51%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 abr. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 2
NEG
68%
20%
12%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |