Análisis Southampton vs Derby County
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
42.6%
Probabilidad gana
1.31
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.7%
Empate
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
29.7%
Probabilidad gana
1.04
Goles esperados
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
+11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 mar. 1974 |
ARS
1 - 0
SOU
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 feb. 1974 |
LIV
1 - 0
SOU
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 feb. 1974 |
SOU
0 - 2
MAC
48%
26%
27%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 feb. 1974 |
SOU
3 - 1
NEW
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 feb. 1974 |
IPS
7 - 0
SOU
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 mar. 1974 |
DER
1 - 1
STO
67%
20%
14%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 feb. 1974 |
NOR
2 - 4
DER
32%
30%
38%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 1974 |
DER
2 - 2
MUD
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 feb. 1974 |
MAC
1 - 0
DER
51%
26%
23%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 1974 |
DER
1 - 0
NEW
60%
22%
18%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |