Análisis SPAL vs Mantova
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
76.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.44
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.3%
Empate
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
8.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.67
Goles esperados
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-28%
+16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 dic. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 2
SPA
28%
26%
47%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 dic. 2013 |
SPA
2 - 1
PER
63%
22%
16%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 2013 |
SPA
3 - 2
REA
61%
20%
19%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 nov. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 1
SPA
25%
25%
50%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 nov. 2013 |
SPA
3 - 2
CUN
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 dic. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 2
SAN
38%
27%
35%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 dic. 2013 |
CUN
1 - 1
MAN
61%
22%
16%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 2013 |
MAN
2 - 0
USA
51%
24%
25%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 nov. 2013 |
ASS
1 - 2
MAN
75%
16%
9%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 nov. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 2
DEL
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -2 |