Análisis SPAL vs Pavia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.74
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.6%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 dic. 2003 |
CES
1 - 1
SPA
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 dic. 2003 |
SPA
1 - 1
PIS
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 nov. 2003 |
PRO
0 - 2
SPA
46%
28%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 nov. 2003 |
SPA
1 - 0
CTT
46%
27%
28%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 nov. 2003 |
SPA
2 - 1
ACP
50%
25%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
Partidos
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 dic. 2003 |
PAV
2 - 0
PAD
38%
27%
36%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 dic. 2003 |
RIM
0 - 0
PAV
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 nov. 2003 |
PAV
0 - 0
PIS
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 nov. 2003 |
PAV
1 - 2
PIS
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 nov. 2003 |
CTT
0 - 3
PAV
60%
22%
17%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +2 |