Análisis SPAL vs Lucchese Libertas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
45.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.37
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.3%
Empate
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
27.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1
Goles esperados
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-14%
+11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 feb. 2004 |
ACL
2 - 1
SPA
59%
24%
18%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2004 |
SPA
0 - 0
PIS
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 2004 |
NOV
1 - 0
SPA
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 ene. 2004 |
SPE
0 - 1
SPA
52%
27%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 dic. 2003 |
SPA
0 - 0
PAV
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 feb. 2004 |
ASL
0 - 0
SPE
41%
29%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2004 |
PAD
1 - 0
ASL
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 2004 |
ASL
1 - 0
PAV
51%
26%
22%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 ene. 2004 |
CTT
0 - 1
ASL
52%
26%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 dic. 2003 |
ASL
1 - 0
PRO
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |