Análisis SPAL vs Modena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
45.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.37
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.4%
Empate
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
26.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-14%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 mar. 2000 |
ACL
3 - 1
SPA
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 feb. 2000 |
SPA
1 - 1
LIV
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 feb. 2000 |
CAR
0 - 0
SPA
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 feb. 2000 |
SPA
0 - 1
REG
42%
27%
30%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 ene. 2000 |
SPA
2 - 1
LEC
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 mar. 2000 |
MOD
1 - 1
USC
55%
26%
19%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 feb. 2000 |
PIS
0 - 2
MOD
56%
27%
18%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 feb. 2000 |
MOD
0 - 0
ABN
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 feb. 2000 |
BRE
1 - 1
MOD
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 ene. 2000 |
CTT
0 - 1
MOD
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |