Análisis Spartak Varna vs Nesebar
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.96
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.8%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.78
Goles esperados
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-19%
-20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 abr. 2006 |
MAR
0 - 0
SVA
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 2006 |
SVA
1 - 1
DUN
72%
19%
10%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2006 |
DOB
0 - 2
SVA
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 mar. 2006 |
SVA
1 - 2
KAL
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 nov. 2005 |
POM
0 - 2
SVA
26%
27%
48%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
Partidos
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 abr. 2006 |
NES
4 - 0
DUN
71%
19%
11%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 2006 |
KAL
1 - 3
NES
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 mar. 2006 |
NES
1 - 1
SVE
40%
27%
32%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 2006 |
SLI
1 - 0
NES
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 nov. 2005 |
PAN
2 - 0
NES
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |