Análisis Sport Recife vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
62.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.92
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.6%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.86
Goles esperados
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-11%
+22%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 jul. 2009 |
COT
1 - 1
SPO
41%
28%
32%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 jul. 2009 |
SPO
1 - 3
AVA
66%
21%
14%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 jul. 2009 |
COR
4 - 3
SPO
55%
25%
20%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 jul. 2009 |
SPO
1 - 0
GOI
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 jul. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
SPO
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 jul. 2009 |
NAU
2 - 2
BOT
32%
26%
43%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 jul. 2009 |
GRÊ
4 - 0
NAU
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 jul. 2009 |
NAU
1 - 1
VIT
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 jul. 2009 |
PAL
4 - 1
NAU
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 jul. 2009 |
NAU
0 - 2
SCI
28%
26%
47%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |