Pernambucano 1 . Final
Global 2-3
Análisis Sport Recife vs Santa Cruz
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
72.7%
Probabilidad gana
2.26
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.3%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10%
Probabilidad gana
0.7
Goles esperados
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
+13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 may. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
SPO
21%
24%
55%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 abr. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 0
NAU
60%
22%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2012 |
NAU
1 - 2
SPO
45%
25%
31%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 abr. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 1
SAN
73%
17%
10%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 4
PAY
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -2 |
Partidos
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 may. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
SPO
21%
24%
55%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 1
SAL
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 abr. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 1
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 1
SAN
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 abr. 2012 |
SAN
5 - 0
AME
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |