Pernambucano 1 Semifinal
Global 1-3
Análisis Sport Recife vs Santa Cruz
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
54.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.74
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.7%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.5%
Probabilidad gana
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
+13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 abr. 2014 |
CEA
1 - 1
SPO
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
SPO
33%
25%
42%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -2 |
| 03 abr. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 0
CEA
40%
26%
35%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +2 |
| 30 mar. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 1
NAU
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
SPO
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 abr. 2014 |
LAG
0 - 1
SAN
11%
19%
70%
|
63 | 31 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
SPO
33%
25%
42%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +2 |
| 30 mar. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 1
SAN
21%
26%
53%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
SPO
35%
25%
40%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 2014 |
NAU
3 - 5
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |