Perú - Liga 1 Fase 2 Campeonato Descentralizado 2014 Jor. 11

Análisis Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima

Sporting Cristal Alianza Lima
76 ELO 75
24.8% Tilt 6.5%
748º Ranking ELO general 717º
Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
57.7%
Sporting Cristal
22.5%
Empate
19.8%
Alianza Lima

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
Sporting Cristal
1.86
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.5%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.8%
Win probability
Alianza Lima
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

Sporting Cristal
Alianza Lima
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Sporting Cristal
Sporting Cristal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 nov. 2014
SPC
Sporting Cristal
2 - 0
Cienciano
CIE
73%
17%
10%
75 65 10 0
12 nov. 2014
HUA
Sport Huancayo
1 - 2
Sporting Cristal
SPC
31%
26%
43%
75 64 11 0
05 nov. 2014
SAM
Univ. San Martín
0 - 1
Sporting Cristal
SPC
34%
27%
39%
75 68 7 0
02 nov. 2014
LEO
León de Huánuco
1 - 3
Sporting Cristal
SPC
32%
28%
40%
74 68 6 +1
25 oct. 2014
SPC
Sporting Cristal
4 - 1
Univ. César Vallejo
VAL
55%
23%
22%
74 74 0 0

Partidos

Alianza Lima
Alianza Lima
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 nov. 2014
ALI
Alianza Lima
3 - 1
Los Caimanes
LOS
59%
25%
17%
75 66 9 0
02 nov. 2014
ALI
Alianza Lima
5 - 0
Cienciano
CIE
57%
25%
18%
74 65 9 +1
26 oct. 2014
HUA
Sport Huancayo
0 - 1
Alianza Lima
ALI
38%
27%
35%
75 65 10 -1
23 oct. 2014
ALI
Alianza Lima
1 - 0
Universitario Deportes
UNI
50%
27%
23%
74 70 4 +1
19 oct. 2014
ALI
Alianza Lima
2 - 0
León de Huánuco
LEO
49%
27%
24%
73 70 3 +1